The World Test Championship (WTC) final is nearing and South Africa has already secured their position by a nail-biting victory over Pakistan. Australia, India, and Sri Lanka are all battling for the second position. Let’s look at WTC final scenarios for Australia, India, and Sri Lanka.
WTC Final Scenarios: Australia
Current Points:61.46%
Remaining Matches: 1 Test vs India (home), 2 Tests vs Sri Lanka (away)
- If Australia wins the Sydney Test, they will guarantee a spot in the WTC final, even if Sri Lanka wins at home.
- Sydney draw: technically, they remain ahead of India but can also allow qualification for Sri Lanka with two wins against India.
- Australia must win one game in Sri Lanka to be sure of qualification after beating Australia in Sydney.
- An India percentage tie will favor India as they have won more of their series within the set of matches.
WTC Final Scenarios: India
Points so far: 52.78%
Matches remaining: 1 Test against Australia (away)
- India must win in Sydney to stay in the race. A win takes them to 55.26%, enough to qualify if Australia does not win more than two draws in Sri Lanka.
- If Sydney test results in draw, it will drop India to 51.75%, knocking them out of contention.
WTC Final Scenarios: Sri Lanka
Current Points: 45.45%
Remaining Matches: 2 Tests vs Australia (home)
- Only a draw in the Sydney Test and a 2-0 victory over Australia will give Sri Lanka any chance. Sri Lanka will reach 53.85% as a result. It continues to dominate both Australia and India.
- Sri Lanka’s campaign will be over if India wins the Sydney Test.
What’s at Stake?
- If Australia win in Sydney, they will ensure qualification and the game against Sri Lanka would be the last game of Sri Lanka’s campaign.
- For India, it is win-or-bust in Sydney.
- Sri Lanka’s fate depends on both a draw in Sydney and a flawless series against Australia.
The WTC final race is still alive, with every match shaping the outcome.
